Separating fact from fiction: research from Agorapulse tells the real story of Facebook Organic Reach by Industry

Buzz = buzz, not truth

The majority of negative content (and there’s been a lot) published on this hot topic, lacks sufficient data to back all the pessimism.

Recently, reputable brands such as Ogilvy have gone as far as announcing the “demise of Organic Reach” based on a study conducted on a sample of 106 brand pages. Yes, you read that right, the sample was limited to 106 pages (pages which don’t appear to be doing so well) among more than 50 million.

Finding significant data

Reach is not public data, and very few people (likely less than 20 companies across the globe) have the ability to access a significant number of pages’ reach metrics.

So most (if not all) of what you’ve read on the subject is probably irrelevant, or greatly exaggerated.

When it comes to commenting on Facebook Organic Reach, there are more “opinions” than hard data to back the assumptions. That’s a fundamental bias.

Big Data tells the real story

Thanks to the Agorapulse’s Facebook Page Barometer, we have access to metrics of more than 7,000 pages of all sizes, spanning all industries and regions.

We spent some time analyzing that data, and the results surprised us.

Yes, the overall average across all pages is down globally. But, the remaining average reach is far from insignificant, and more importantly, there are still an awful lot of pages, large and small, which are reaching insanely well before spending a dime.

We analyzed the average post Organic Reach metric on an industry-by-industry basis in order to spot industries that were up, industries that were holding steady and those that have gone down.

Our goal here is to demonstrate Organic reach is not dismal for everyone.  And even if it’s not for the majority of pages, there are still pages for which reach is going up or is steady.

There is a fairly large disparity among the millions of Facebook pages out there. Even if Facebook once announced that a Facebook page was reaching 16% of its fans, Some pages still manage to reach 40% of their fans with each individual post.

Should they kill their Facebook page? Hell no!

Keep in mind that sample size and averages are, by definition, just an indication. The reality is far more complex and diverse.

Here is the infographic with our results:

Faceook Organic Reach by Industry 2014

How was this data retrieved and computed?

This data was retrieved from Facebook Pages that have installed our Facebook page Barometer. We pulled an export in July 2013 and another in May 2014 to compare the evolution over that period of time.

  • All data has been anonymized.
  • All the pages with less than 100 fans have been removed, as these tend to have a pretty high organic reach and may have created an anomaly in overall averages.
  • We then ran a macro in Excel to produce an average for each metric, by industry.
  • Finally, we picked a sample of industries going up, down or remaining steady to produce the infographic.

Among the 142 industries (Facebook page categories) we have in the sample, only 18 are up or steady. But among the 124 categories seeing their organic reach going down, there are still a lot of them reaching more than 15 or 20% of their fans organically for each post.

No reason to throw the baby with the bath water yet…

As we want to be as transparent as possible with our data, we’re happy to provide you with the Excel file we’ve used with all our raw data.  Just send us a message on our Facebook page with your request!